There are alternative theories around that are at variance with what media have been providing, nevertheless they are quantifiable from many sources especially Geonet's own website.
Surfing the internet can show that these ideas are not mine alone. All viewpoints are worthy of public discussion if we are to move forward.
The duration for any earthquake series from start to ease is usually 2-3 years, so it is perhaps 2013 before Christchurch can breathe sighs of relief.
Since September 2010 there have been more earthquakes in size and magnitude in the North Island than in the South Island, but this has been masked by our preoccupation with the tragic fatalities in the CTV building, which may have had a lot to do with dodgy construction.
Most buildings did not entirely collapse that fateful day, but ongoing publicity contributes to the spooking of insurers, and delays any rebuild.
In Japan, where 80% of all world earthquakes occur, rebuilding is immediate after any big event. There is no wait and see, and no confusion of who is in charge.
The next destructive above-7mag in NZ is likely to be in central NZ about 2015/16, with epicentre between Marlborough and Wairarapa..
Thousands of earthquakes occurred in Christchurch in 1869-70 which raised the seabed. The CBD rose where the sea had been. A second mistake would be to rebuild on the same reclaimed swamp.
The south boundary for seismic activity is the Rakaia river, but there is no appetite to rebuild there. Nor has there been analysis on whether new "fault lines" may appear in the north and west suburbs.
Earthquakes cause fault lines, not vice versa. Earthquakes cause "rubbing together" of tectonic plates, not vice versa.
All planets have quakes because all planets have orbiting neighbours that stress electromagnetic fields of the parent bodies.
Earthquakes are the daily and monthly tide of the earth responding to the pressure of the transiting moon and/or other extraterrestrial bodies at significant angles.
Waves in the land happen every day as the land rises and falls, releasing internal pressure. They are called earthquakes only when the Land Tide (about 8" per day of vertical movement in NZ and 50cms in Australia) is a felt tremor.
Kingtides in land and sea and occur around lunar perigee. Larger quakes come at kingtide times.
There is double the chance of a large earthquake during the week of perigee and new or full moon, as has happened over the past 18 months in Christchurch.
Most larger earthquakes arrive at low tide or high tide times.
Most earthquakes are accompanied by significant alignments of Sun, Mercury, Venus, Earth, Mars, and/or Jupiter and the resulting solar activity that arises, and the angles these alignments make with Earth locations.
Earthquakes release internal pressure, just as we shake with emotion. They are essential for the planet and without them there would have been no hills, valleys, rivers, harbours or fertile soil.
Due to earthquakes under the thin seafloor in sub-marine trenches, which is where they chase fish shoals, marine mammals get concussed and float to the surface, to be floated in by the next and nearest tide unconscious or shell-shocked. Strandings in Asian countries are considered indicators of earthquake activity.
By these ways can earthquake timings, though not magnitudes, be approximately predicted. But earthquakes cannot be predicted by studying fault lines anymore than tide times can be predicted running seawater under a microscope.
Earthquake signs are birds falling silent, high pressure wispy clouds, unusually high/low tides, still air, sea mammals stranding, new or full moon in perigee and solar activity that electrifies the air.
Safer times are lesser tidal variation, apogees, quarter moons, when winds are blowing, when birds are singing, when clouds are low and when electrical charges in the air are less.
Man cannot cause earthquakes, anymore than he can influence tides. Comets cannot cause earthquakes, nor Mayan calendars.
Hydraulic fracking is too shallow to cause earthquakes (less than 5km down, earthquakes can come from 300kms down).
Chem-trails are natural high cirrus ice lines caused by high altitude high pressure. They are also exhaust vapour icing up from high altitude jets.
Higher pressure can accompany seismic activity, so trails can indicate 'earthquake weather' but they cannot cause earthquakes.
There is little or no tsunami risk to Christchurch. Tsunamis must come from Chile to reach here, giving us 12 hours warning.
In NZ's known history there have only been 4 tsunami scares and no major damage. But in that time there have been 2 million earthquake events recorded here.
There is even less risk of volcanic activity for Christchurch. In our region's history there has been no volcanic activity, and volcanoes do not knock over buildings.
Not all may agree with all the above. But it would be folly to rush into decisions that used public funds and labour resources if the truth of these was being suppressed.
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