Exit Polls Predict Modi Win in India’s Capital After Decades

(Bloomberg) -- Follow Bloomberg India on WhatsApp for exclusive content and analysis on what billionaires, businesses and markets are doing. Sign up here.

Most Read from Bloomberg

Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s Bharatiya Janata Party looks set to return to power in India’s capital after almost three decades in a tightly-contested local election, some exit polls predicted.

ADVERTISEMENT

The BJP could get more than 36 of the 70 seats in the Delhi assembly, according to forecasts by some pollsters after voting on Wednesday. The party last governed Delhi in 1998.

The incumbent Aam Aadmi Party, which means the common man’s party, has been in power in Delhi since 2015, but has suffered reputational damage in recent years due to corruption allegations against some of its leaders. The BJP, on the other hand, is riding a wave of popularity with middle-class Indians after making record tax cuts in the annual budget last week.

While the exit polls aren’t definitive, a win for the BJP will show that Modi’s popularity remains substantial, even though his party lost an outright majority in the national polls last year. In the past four months, the BJP has won the states of Haryana and Maharashtra, marking a big comeback for the party.

If the BJP prevails, it would mean that the party has once again “cracked the code for winning elections,” said Rasheed Kidwai, a political analyst and author. “This means the defeat of regional parties.”

The voter turnout in Delhi stood at about 60%, according to the Election Commission of India. Official results for the capital are due to be released on Feb. 8.

ADVERTISEMENT

Exit polls have never been right about AAP, the party’s spokesperson said in a statement. Some well-known pollsters, including Axis My India, said they will release their projections on Thursday. Several exit polls had got the national elections last year wrong as they had predicted a landslide win for Modi. “In India, psephology is also politicized. There is little accountability,” Kidwai said.

(Updates from fourth paragraph onwards.)

Most Read from Bloomberg Businessweek

©2025 Bloomberg L.P.