'Red lines' for Russia that could provoke NATO's stepping into war

NATO military personnel
NATO military personnel

NATO may deploy more than 100.000 troops against Russia if it crosses one of two “red lines,” reported Italian newspaper La Repubblica on May 5.

The report highlights that NATO has privately identified two specific actions by Russia that could trigger direct intervention in the ongoing conflict with Ukraine.

The first "red line" involves any form of interference, whether direct or indirect, by a third party in the conflict. The newspaper explains that this could include an offensive move against northwestern Ukraine by Belarus.

The second "red line" pertains to any attacks on Baltic states, Poland, or Moldova. These actions need not constitute a full-scale invasion but could be construed as military provocations. La Repubblica suggests that Russia might engage in such actions to test the Alliance's response.

It is indicated that NATO has the capacity to deploy more than 100,000 troops for military operations against Russia if necessary.

However, the report clarifies that there are currently no operational plans to deploy troops to Ukraine. NATO is only considering potential actions in case of emergencies.

Possible deployment of NATO troops to Ukraine

After a conference on supporting Ukraine held in Paris on Feb. 26, French President Emmanuel Macron said that Ukraine's Western allies would create a coalition to provide Ukrainian Armed Forces with long-range weapons, and that sending Western troops to Ukraine in future should not be ruled out.

In response to Macron's statements, Poland, United States, Germany, Czechia, Canada, and United Kingdom publicly rejected idea of sending troops to Ukraine.

Estonian Prime Minister Kaja Kallas and Lithuanian Defense Minister Arvydas Anušauskas did not rejected possibility of sending troops, but clarified that if they do, it will bo only training missions. General Onno Eichelsheim, Chief of General Staff of Dutch Army, said that “all options should be open.”

Read also: U.S. could allow for American troop deployment to Ukraine - Democratic House leader Jeffries

AFP news agency reported that European NATO states had been studying possibility of sending NATO troops to Ukraine for weeks.

French Prime Minister Gabriel Attal explained that French troops could participate in war on side of Ukraine to protect certain borders, take part in exercises or ground air defense on Feb. 29. He denied possiibility of French soldiers participation in battles “directly on front line.”

Read also: Ukrainian forces ready for Russian summer offensive – Sullivan

Polish Foreign Minister Radoslaw Sikorski said that NATO foreign ministers agreed to create a special mission of Alliance to increase support for Ukraine on April 4.

Read also: America and Germany unhappy with French comments about Western troop deployment to Ukraine

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