Russia secures 195 square miles of Ukrainian territory since October

Ukrainian military
Ukrainian military

Russian forces have captured an additional 505 square kilometers (195 square miles) of Ukrainian territory since their October 2023 offensive, the Institute for the Study of War (ISW) reported on March 28. 

The ISW detailed that from Jan. 1 to March 28, Russian troops seized almost 100 square kilometers (approx. 37 sq. miles) more than in the final quarter of 2023.

The Ukrainian military's current pace of territorial loss could be attributed to ammunition shortages and challenging weather conditions. Despite the increased rate of Russian territorial gains, the ISW does not believe this signifies a potential for significant Russian operational success.

Read also: Russian forces destabilize Ukrainian defensive lines and prepare for summer offensive amid delays in Western security assistance

The report points to logistical challenges hampering the Ukrainian forces' defense capabilities, while simultaneously allowing Russian troops more leeway to launch offensive maneuvers.  As logistical and manpower issues persist for Ukraine, Russia may find more opportunities to exploit these weaknesses.

Read also: Impact of Ukrainian UAV strikes on Russian assets - ISW analysis

Analysts also highlight a silver lining: increased Western aid and a resolution to Ukraine's manpower challenges could limit Russian advancements. Support is deemed crucial for the Ukrainian Armed Forces to prevent further Russian tactical victories, diminish their offensive momentum, and gear up for potential counterattacks.

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Read the original article on The New Voice of Ukraine