UK weather: Migrating area of high pressure to bring unsettled conditions in November
The UK's weather through October was fairly typical, with provisional statistics showing rainfall and sunshine amounts just below the long-term average (1991-2020) and temperatures just above.
But will November be similar?
Well, the first few days have been dry, cloudy and mild, and the anticyclonic gloom looks set to continue for a while yet.
High pressure will remain close to the UK this week, keeping most places dry but at the same time trapping clouds near the surface.
Cloud cover will continue to be quite extensive, giving some drizzly outbreaks at times, especially in the north and west.
Any cloud breaks overnight will help mist and fog to form, with Bonfire Night events exacerbating the poor visibility.
Check the forecast for your area
By day, there will be a few sunny breaks, mainly to the north of high ground, with northern Scotland most favoured.
Temperatures will be around average or above, typically highest in the sunnier spots.
Foehn effects - a change from wet and cold conditions on one side of a mountain to drier and warmer conditions on the other - may allow the Moray Firth in Scotland to reach the mid-teens.
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Strong winds and patchy rain to affect Ireland and western UK
There'll be a slight change on Friday, stronger winds and patchy rain will affect Ireland and western parts of the UK.
That rain will edge across more of the UK on Saturday, but it won't amount to much as it moves into higher pressure.
Sunday will also bring the chance of some rain, with a deep area of low pressure passing close to the northwest of Scotland.
Migrating high pressure to bring unsettled weather
High pressure is likely to remain close to the UK again next week, keeping most places dry.
The exact position of the area of high pressure will determine how much cloud will be around, but it's likely to weaken or migrate further east by the middle of November.
That would allow something more unsettled to follow, especially in the northwest, but perhaps more widely for the end of November.
With high pressure forecast over central and northern parts of Europe for the next few weeks, southern parts will be more unsettled, with areas of low pressure.
Further heavy rain is forecast for the Mediterranean region - more so next week.
That will be a worry for flood-hit regions of Spain, but the alarming amounts seen just a week ago in Valencia look very unlikely.
