2024 Emmys Drama Series Predictions

Emmys: Drama Series – Amazon Prime Video Could Score Its First Double Noms With ‘Fallout’ and ‘Mr. and Mrs. Smith’
Emmys: Drama Series – Amazon Prime Video Could Score Its First Double Noms With ‘Fallout’ and ‘Mr. and Mrs. Smith’

Variety Awards Circuit section is the home for all awards news and related content throughout the year, featuring the following: the official predictions for the upcoming Oscars, Emmys, Grammys and Tony Awards ceremonies, curated by Variety senior awards editor Clayton Davis. The prediction pages reflect the current standings in the race and do not reflect personal preferences for any individual contender. As other formal (and informal) polls suggest, competitions are fluid and subject to change based on buzz and events. Predictions are updated every Thursday.

More from Variety

Visit the prediction pages for the respective ceremonies via the links below:

OSCARS | EMMYS | GRAMMYS | TONYS

2024 Emmy Predictions:
Outstanding Drama Series

The Crown
The Crown

Commentary (Updated April 18, 2024): Prime Video is gearing up for a robust awards campaign for its new series “Fallout,” inspired by the popular video game series. The streamer is targeting double-digit nominations including outstanding drama series, among other categories.

The series’ director, Jonathan Nolan, along with writers Graham Wagner and Geneva Robertson-Dworet, are set to submit the pilot episode, titled “The End,” for Emmy consideration, which hooks viewers into the action-packed tale.

Historically, Amazon has received only one drama series mentions in its tenure, coming for the second season of “The Boys” in 2021, another hit genre program. This year, Amazon is hopeful not only to secure its second nomination but potentially a third, with the addition of Donald Glover’s action-packed “Mr. & Mrs. Smith.”

Starring Donald Glover and Maya Erskine, “Mr. & Mrs. Smith” is inspired by the 2005 film featuring Brad Pitt and Angelina Jolie. Created by Glover and Francesca Sloane, the series spans eight episodes and follows John and Jane Smith, secret agents masquerading as a married couple, who are employed by a mysterious corporation. Glover is poised to receive multiple nominations, potentially earning up to five across acting, producing, directing, and writing categories.

Despite their potential, both series still face stiff competition from the final season of Netflix’s “The Crown.” Although reactions to the concluding portrayal of the British monarchy were mixed, history shows that such opinions might not significantly impact its Emmy prospects. For instance, despite widespread criticism, the eighth and final season of HBO’s “Game of Thrones,” often regarded as its weakest, effortlessly secured a drama series win—even with the critically acclaimed first seasons of “Succession” and “Pose” as contenders. This suggests “The Crown” could similarly enjoy another triumph at the Emmys after sweeping in 2021.

Read: All Primetime Emmy predictions in every category on Variety’s Awards Circuit.


And the Predicted Nominees Are

Rank

Series

1

The Crown” (Netflix)

2

The Gilded Age” (Max)

3

Fallout” (Prime Video)

4

The Morning Show” (Apple TV+)

5

The Curse” (Showtime)

6

Mr. and Mrs. Smith” (Prime Video)

7

Slow Horses” (Apple TV+)

8

3 Body Problem” (Netflix)


Next in Line

Rank

Series

9

Loki” (Disney+)

10

Avatar: The Last Airbender” (Netflix)

11

Ahsoka” (Disney+)

12

For All Mankind” (Apple TV+)

13

Justified: City Primeval” (FX)

14

Sugar” (Apple TV+)

15

Winning Time: Rise of the Lakers Dynasty” (Max)


Also In Contention

Rank

Series

16

The New Look” (Apple TV+)

17

Dark Winds” (AMC)

18

Star Trek: Strange New Worlds” (Paramount+)

19

One Piece” (Netflix)

20

Law & Order: SVU” (NBC)

21

Billions” (Showtime)

22

Hijack” (Apple TV+)

23

Parish” (AMC)

24

Lupin” (Netflix)

25

Tokyo Vice” (Max)

Eligible Titles (Drama Series)

Eligible Titles (Drama Series)
Eligible Titles (Drama Series)


**The list below is not complete and have been confirmed as officially submitted. All information is subject to change. Grouped by network that airs each series.

  • “9-1-1” (ABC)

  • The Good Doctor” (ABC)

  • Grey’s Anatomy” (ABC)

  • “The Rookie” (ABC)

  • “Station 19” (ABC)

  • “Will Trent” (ABC)

  • “Dark Winds” (AMC)

  • “Parish” (AMC)

  • “The Walking Dead: Daryl Dixon” (AMC)

  • “The Walking Dead: The Ones Who Live” (AMC)

  • “The Buccaneers” (Apple TV+)

  • “The Changeling” (Apple TV+)

  • “Constellation” (Apple TV+)

  • “Foundation” (Apple TV+)

  • “Hijack” (Apple TV+)

  • “Invasion” (Apple TV+)

  • “For All Mankind” (Apple TV+)

  • “The Morning Show” (Apple TV+)

  • “The New Look” (Apple TV+)

  • “Monarch: Legacy of Monsters” (Apple TV+)

  • “Silo” (Apple TV+)

  • Slow Horses” (Apple TV+)

  • “Sugar” (Apple TV+)

  • “Swagger” (Apple TV+)

  • “Doctor Who” (BBC One)

  • “All the Queen’s Men” (BET+)

  • Blue Bloods” (CBS)

  • CSI: Vegas” (CBS)

  • “Elsbeth” (CBS)

  • “The Equalizer” (CBS)

  • “FBI” (CBS)

  • “FBI: International” (CBS)

  • “FBI: Most Wanted” (CBS)

  • Fire Country” (CBS)

  • “Magnum P.I.” (CBS)

  • NCIS” (CBS)

  • NCIS: Hawai’i” (CBS)

  • “NCIS: Sydney” (CBS)

  • S.W.A.T.” (CBS)

  • “Tracker” (CBS)

  • “All American” (The CW)

  • “Sullivan’s Crossing” (The CW)

  • “Superman & Lois” (The CW)

  • “Titans” (The CW)

  • “Walker” (The CW)

  • “Walker: Independence” (The CW)

  • “Ahsoka” (Disney+)

  • “Loki” (Disney+)

  • “Alert: Missing Persons Unit” (Fox)

  • “DOC” (Fox)

  • “Rescue: HI-Surf” (Fox)

  • “Justified: City Primeval” (FX)

  • “Mayans M.C.” (FX)

  • Snowfall” (FX)

  • “Alex Rider” (Freevee)

  • “Almost Paradise” (Freevee)

  • “Bosch: Legacy” (Freevee)

  • “The Way Home” (Hallmark)

  • “Black Cake” (Hulu)

  • “The Gilded Age” (Max)

  • “The Girls on the Bus” (Max)

  • “The Tourist” (Max)

  • “Tokyo Vice” (Max)

  • “Warrior” (Max)

  • “Winning Time: Rise of the Lakers Dynasty” (Max)

  • Godfather of Harlem” (MGM+)

  • Chicago Fire” (NBC)

  • Chicago Med” (NBC)

  • Chicago P.D.” (NBC)

  • “Found” (NBC)

  • “The Irrational” (NBC)

  • Law & Order” (NBC)

  • “Law & Order: Organized Crime” (NBC)

  • “Law & Order: Special Victims Unit” (NBC)

  • New Amsterdam” (NBC)

  • Quantum Leap” (NBC)

  • “3 Body Problem” (Netflix)

  • “Avatar: The Last Airbender” (Netflix)

  • The Crown” (Netflix)

  • “The Lincoln Lawyer” (Netflix)

  • “Lupin” (Netflix)

  • “One Piece” (Netflix)

  • “The Witcher” (Netflix)

  • “The Green Veil” (The Network)

  • “Halo” (Paramount+)

  • “Joe Pickett” (Paramount+)

  • “Sexy Beast” (Paramount+)

  • “Sky Med” (Paramount+)

  • “Special Ops: Lioness” (Paramount+)

  • “Star Trek: Discovery” (Paramount+)

  • Star Trek: Strange New Worlds” (Paramount+)

  • “Dr. Death” (Peacock)

  • “American Rust Broken Justice” (Prime Video)

  • “The Baxters” (Prime Video)

  • “Beacon 23” (Prime Video)

  • “Belgravia: The Next Chapter” (Prime Video)

  • “Billy the Kid” (Prime Video)

  • “Fallout” (Prime Video)

  • “Harlan Coben’s Shelter” (Prime Video)

  • “Mr. & Mrs. Smith” (Prime Video)

  • “Outer Range” (Prime Video)

  • “Reacher” (Prime Video)

  • “The Summer I Turned Pretty” (Prime Video)

  • “Tom Clancy’s Jack Ryan” (Prime Video)

  • “The Wheel of Time” (Prime Video)

  • “With Love” (Prime Video)

  • “Billions” Showtime)

  • “The Chi” (Showtime)

  • “The Curse” (Showtime)

  • “The Woman in the Wall” (Showtime)

  • “BMF” (Starz)

  • “Outlander” (Starz)

  • “Power Book IV: Force” (Starz)

  • “Power Book III: Raising Kanan” (Starz)

  • Chucky” (Syfy)

More Information (Drama)

2023 category winner: “Succession” (HBO) — Season 4 — Jesse Armstrong, Adam McKay, Will Ferrell, Frank Rich, Kevin Messick, Mark Mylod, Jane Tranter, Tony Roche, Scott Ferguson, Jon Brown, Lucy Prebble and Will Tracy, executive producers; Dara Schnapper, Georgia Pritchett and Ted Cohen, co-executive producers; Susan Soon He Stanton, supervising producer; Gabrielle Mahon, produced by; Francesca Gardiner, consulting producer

2024 Emmy Awards Calendar and Timeline (all dates are subject to change)

  • Eligibility period: June 1, 2023 – May 31, 2024

  • Feb. 29: Submissions open

  • May 9: Deadline for programs that identify as Primetime programming to upload all entry materials.

  • June 13: Nominations-round voting begins

  • June 24: Nominations-round voting ends at 10:00 p.m. PT

  • June 28 – July 8: Voting for peer group-specific top ten rounds panels (if applicable)

  • July 17: Primetime Emmy nominations are announced.

  • July 24: Deadline for errors and omissions to the nominations.

  • August 5: Find-round videos available for viewing.

  • August 15: Final-round voting begins.

  • August 26: Final-round voting ends at 10:00 p.m. PST.

  • Sept. 7-8: Creative Arts Emmy Awards and Governors Gala

  • Sunday, Sept. 15: 76th Primetime Emmy Awards to air on ABC.

Emmy Awards Predictions

Drama

Comedy

Limited/Movie

Drama Series

Comedy Series

Limited or Anthology Series

Lead Actor (Drama)

Lead Actor (Comedy)

Lead Actor (Limited, Movie)

Lead Actress (Drama)

Lead Actress (Comedy)

Lead Actress (Limited, Movie)

Supporting Actor (Drama)

Supporting Actor (Comedy)

Supporting Actor (Limited, Movie)

Supporting Actress (Drama)

Supporting Actress (Comedy)

Supporting Actress (Limited, Movie)

Directing (Drama)

Directing (Comedy)

Directing (Limited, Movie)

Writing (Drama)

Writing (Comedy)

Writing (Limited, Movie)

Guest Actor (Drama)

Guest Actor (Comedy)

Television Movie

Guest Actress (Drama)

Guest Actress (Comedy)

Casting (Limited, Movie)

Casting (Drama)

Casting (Comedy)

Other Awards Predictions

Talk Series

Reality Competition Program

Animated Program

Scripted Variety

Game Show

Character Voice-Over Performance

Variety Special (Live)

Host for a Reality or Competition Program

Narrator

Variety Special (Pre-Recorded)

Structured Reality

Documentary (Series)

Directing (Series, Special)

Unstructured Reality

Documentary (Special)

Writing (Series, Special)

Directing (Reality Program)

Hosted Nonfiction (Series or Special)

Music (Limited, Movie, Special, Series, Documentary, Direction, Theme Music, Lyrics, Supervision)

Main Title Design

Writing (Nonfiction)

Short Form Series

Short Form (Actor/Actress)

Exceptional Merit

About the Primetime Emmy Awards

The Primetime Emmy Awards, commonly known as the Emmys, are awarded by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences (ATAS). Established in 1949, these celebrate outstanding achievements in American primetime television. The Emmys are categorized into three divisions: the Primetime Emmy Awards for performance and production excellence, the Primetime Creative Arts Emmy Awards recognizing achievements in artistry and craftsmanship, and the Primetime Engineering Emmy Awards, which honor significant engineering and technological advancements. The eligibility period typically extends from June 1 to May 31 each year. The Television Academy, which hosts the Emmys, consists of over 20,000 members across 30 professional peer groups, including performers, directors, producers, art directors, artisans and executives.

Best of Variety