2024 Emmys Supporting Actress Limited/TV Movie Predictions

Emmys: Supporting Actress (Limited/TV Movie) — ‘Baby Reindeer’ Breakout Jessica Gunning Debuts as New Emmy Frontrunner
Emmys: Supporting Actress (Limited/TV Movie) — ‘Baby Reindeer’ Breakout Jessica Gunning Debuts as New Emmy Frontrunner

Variety Awards Circuit section is the home for all awards news and related content throughout the year, featuring the following: the official predictions for the upcoming Oscars, Emmys, Grammys and Tony Awards ceremonies, curated by Variety senior awards editor Clayton Davis. The prediction pages reflect the current standings in the race and do not reflect personal preferences for any individual contender. As other formal (and informal) polls suggest, competitions are fluid and subject to change based on buzz and events. Predictions are updated every Thursday.

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2024 Emmy Predictions:
Outstanding Supporting Actress in a Limited or Anthology Series or TV Movie

"FARGO" -- "Bisquik" -- Year 5, Episode 10 (Airs Jan 16)  Pictured:  Jennifer Jason Leigh as Lorraine Lyon.  CR: Michelle Faye/FX
“FARGO” — “Bisquik” — Year 5, Episode 10 (Airs Jan 16) Pictured: Jennifer Jason Leigh as Lorraine Lyon. CR: Michelle Faye/FX

Weekly Commentary (Updated: May 2, 2024): The British thriller “Baby Reindeer” on Netflix has unexpectedly surged into the spotlight, capturing significant attention and cultural impact. This previously under-the-radar series has seen its star, Jessica Gunning, rise as a potential frontrunner in the award race for her compelling portrayal of the enigmatic and scene-stealing stalker Martha Scott.

According to Luminate, from April 12 to April 18, “Baby Reindeer” experienced a dramatic viewership increase of 8,000% from its debut, amassing 354.6 million minutes watched, or approximately 1.4 million views. This surge highlights the series’ growing popularity and the Television Academy’s appreciation for emerging talent. Traditionally, the supporting actress category in limited series has been receptive to newcomers, a trend that could favor Gunning against established competitors like Kali Reis (“True Detective: Night Country”), Jennifer Jason Leigh (“Fargo”), and several actresses from “Feud: Capote vs. the Swans”).

Gunning’s breakout role could also boost the chances of her co-star Nava Mau, who plays Teri, garnering attention for her performance.

Although it’s been some time since Ryan Murphy’s “American Horror Story” anthology series significantly influenced award seasons, Kim Kardashian’s casting as a publicist leading an awards campaign is perfectly aligned with the role she portrays. A perfect match between actor and character. Could she be taken seriously enough by the acting peer group to make a dent in this competitive field?

As the award season progresses, the field remains dynamic, with potential new entrants such as Lily Gladstone and Riley Keough for “Under the Bridge” and Fumi Nikaidō or Moeka Hoshi for their roles in the epic “Shōgun.” The upcoming For Your Consideration (FYC) events are set to shape the competitive landscape further.

Read: Variety’s Awards Circuit for the latest Primetime Emmy predictions in the major categories.


And the Predicted Nominees Are

Rank

Performer and Series

1

Jessica Gunning — “Baby Reindeer” (Netflix)

2

Kali Reis — “True Detective: Night Country” (Max)

3

Jennifer Jason Leigh — “Fargo” (FX)

4

Diane Lane — “Feud: Capote vs. the Swans” (FX)

5

Aja Naomi King — “Lessons in Chemistry” (Apple TV+)

6

Fumi Nikaido — “Shōgun” (FX)

7

Fiona Shaw — “True Detective: Night Country” (Max)

Next in Line

Rank

Performer and Series

8

Moeka Hoshi — “Shōgun” (FX)

9

Chloë Sevigny — “Feud: Capote vs. the Swans” (FX)

10

Dakota Fanning — “Ripley” (Netflix)

11

Sarayu Blue — “Expats” (Prime Video)

12

Sandra Oh — “The Sympathizer” (Max)

13

Lily Gladstone — “Under the Bridge” (Hulu)

14

Riley Keough — “Under the Bridge” (Hulu)

15

Kim Kardashian — “American Horror Story: Delicate” (FX)


Also in Contention

Rank

Performer and Series

16

Melanie Lynskey — “The Tattooist of Auschwitz” (Peacock)

17

Nava Mau — “Baby Reindeer” (Netflix)

18

Calista Flockhart — “Feud: Capote vs. the Swans” (FX)

19

Molly Ringwald — “Feud: Capote vs. the Swans” (FX)

20

Gaby Hoffmann — “Eric” (Netflix)

21

Andrea Riseborough — “The Regime” (Max)

22

Demi Moore — “Feud: Capote vs. the Swans” (FX)

23

Mary McDonnell — “Fall of the House of Usher” (Netflix)

24

Jayme Lawson — “Genius: MLK/X” (National Geographic)

25

Da’Vine Joy Randolph — “The Idol” (Max)

Eligible Performers (Supporting Actress, Limited/TV Movie)

Eligible Performers (Supporting Actress, Limited/TV Movie)
Eligible Performers (Supporting Actress, Limited/TV Movie)


**The list below is not complete and have been confirmed as officially submitted. All information is subject to change. Grouped by network that airs each series.

  • Cara Bossom — “Monsieur Spade” (AMC)

  • Sasha Lane — “The Crowded Room” (Apple TV+)

  • Emmy Rossum — “The Crowded Room” (Apple TV+)

  • Aja Naomi King — “Lessons in Chemistry” (Apple TV+)

  • Anna Dudek — “Manhunt” (Apple TV+)

  • Lovie Simone — “Manhunt” (Apple TV+)

  • Lily Taylor — “Manhunt” (Apple TV+)

  • Joanna Kulig — “Masters of the Air” (Apple TV+)

  • Isabel May — “Masters of the Air” (Apple TV+)

  • Bel Powley — “Masters of the Air” (Apple TV+)

  • Laura Aikman — “Archie” (BritBox)

  • Harrie Walter — “Archie” (BritBox)

  • Tantoo Cardinal — “Echo” (Disney+)

  • Devory Jacobs — “Echo” (Disney+)

  • Olivia Colman — “Secret Invasion” (Disney+)

  • Cara Delevingne — “American Horror Story: Delicate” (FX)

  • Kim Kardashian — “American Horror Story: Delicate” (FX)

  • Michaela Jae Rodriguez — “American Horror Story: Delicate” (FX)

  • Jennifer Jason Leigh — “Fargo” (FX)

  • Richa Moorjani — “Fargo” (FX)

  • Calista Flockhart — “Feud: Capote vs. the Swans” (FX)

  • Diane Lane — “Feud: Capote vs. the Swans” (FX)

  • Demi Moore — “Feud: Capote vs. the Swans” (FX)

  • Molly Ringwald — “Feud: Capote vs. the Swans” (FX)

  • Chloë Sevigny — “Feud: Capote vs. the Swans” (FX)

  • Brit Marling — “A Murder at the End of the World” (FX)

  • Moeka Hoshi — “Shōgun” (FX)

  • Fumi Nikaido — “Shōgun” (FX)

  • Chipo Chung — “Black Cake” (Hulu)

  • Linda Emond — “Death and Other Details” (Hulu)

  • Holland Taylor — “Quiz Lady” (Hulu)

  • Lily Gladstone — “Under the Bridge” (Hulu)

  • Chloe Guidry — “Under the Bridge” (Hulu)

  • Riley Keough — “Under the Bridge” (Hulu)

  • Yumna Marwan — “The Veil” (Hulu)

  • Robin Weigert — “We Were the Lucky Ones” (Hulu)

  • Zazie Beetz — “Full Circle” (Max)

  • CCH Pounder — “Full Circle” (Max)

  • Jane Adams — “The Idol” (Max)

  • Da’Vine Joy Randolph — “The Idol” (Max)

  • Rachel Sennott — “The Idol” (Max)

  • Suzanna Son — “The Idol” (Max)

  • Martha Plimpton — “The Regime” (Max)

  • Andrea Riseborough — “The Regime” (Max)

  • Sandra Oh — “The Sympathizer” (Max)

  • Kali Reis — “True Detective: Night Country” (Max)

  • Fiona Shaw — “True Detective: Night Country” (Max)

  • Lisa Gay Hamilton — “Genius: MLK/X” (National Geographic)

  • Jayme Lawson — “Genius: MLK/X” (National Geographic)

  • Weruche Opia — “Genius: MLK/X” (National Geographic)

  • Jessica Gunning — “Baby Reindeer” (Netflix)

  • Nava Mau — “Baby Reindeer” (Netflix)

  • Kate Mara — “Black Mirror” (Netflix)

  • Gaby Hoffmann — “Eric” (Netflix)

  • Willa Fitzgerald — “Fall of the House of Usher” (Netflix)

  • Mary McDonnell — “Fall of the House of Usher” (Netflix)

  • Kate Siegel — “Fall of the House of Usher” (Netflix)

  • Lucy Liu — “A Man in Full” (Netflix)

  • Dakota Fanning — “Ripley” (Netflix)

  • Gillian Anderson — “Scoop” (Netflix)

  • Keeley Hawes — “Scoop” (Netflix)

  • Melissa McCarthy — “Unfrosted: The Pop-Tart Story” (Netflix)

  • Amy Schumer — “Unfrosted: The Pop-Tart Story” (Netflix)

  • Jenna Ortega — “Finestkind” (Paramount+)

  • Lauren E. Banks — “Lawmen: Bass Reeves” (Paramount+)

  • Alison Brie — “Apples Never Fall” (Peacock)

  • Ashley Madekwe — “Dr. Death” (Peacock)

  • Melora Hardin — “Mr. Monk’s Last Case: A Monk Movie” (Peacock)

  • Melanie Lynskey — “The Tattooist of Auschwitz” (Peacock)

  • Sarayu Blue — “Expats” (Prime Video)

  • Allison Williams — “Fellow Travelers” (Showtime)

  • Rachel Hilson — “Red, White and Royal Blue” (Prime Video)

  • Sarah Shahi — “Red, White and Royal Blue” (Prime Video)

  • Uma Thurman — “Red, White and Royal Blue” (Prime Video)

More Information (Supporting Actress, Limited/TV Movie)

More Information (Supporting Actress, Limited/TV Movie)
More Information (Supporting Actress, Limited/TV Movie)


2023 category winner: Niecy Nash-Betts — “Dahmer – Monster: The Jeffrey Dahmer Story” (Netflix)

2024 Emmy Awards Calendar and Timeline (all dates are subject to change)

  • Eligibility period: June 1, 2023 – May 31, 2024

  • Feb. 29: Submissions open

  • May 9: Deadline for programs that identify as Primetime programming to upload all entry materials.

  • June 13: Nominations-round voting begins

  • June 24: Nominations-round voting ends at 10:00 p.m. PT

  • June 28 – July 8: Voting for peer group-specific top ten rounds panels (if applicable)

  • July 17: Primetime Emmy nominations are announced.

  • July 24: Deadline for errors and omissions to the nominations.

  • August 5: Find-round videos available for viewing.

  • August 15: Final-round voting begins.

  • August 26: Final-round voting ends at 10:00 p.m. PST.

  • Sept. 7-8: Creative Arts Emmy Awards and Governors Gala

  • Sunday, Sept. 15: 76th Primetime Emmy Awards to air on ABC.

Emmy Awards Predictions

Drama

Comedy

Limited/Movie

Drama Series

Comedy Series

Limited or Anthology Series

Lead Actor (Drama)

Lead Actor (Comedy)

Lead Actor (Limited, Movie)

Lead Actress (Drama)

Lead Actress (Comedy)

Lead Actress (Limited, Movie)

Supporting Actor (Drama)

Supporting Actor (Comedy)

Supporting Actor (Limited, Movie)

Supporting Actress (Drama)

Supporting Actress (Comedy)

Supporting Actress (Limited, Movie)

Directing (Drama)

Directing (Comedy)

Directing (Limited, Movie)

Writing (Drama)

Writing (Comedy)

Writing (Limited, Movie)

Guest Actor (Drama)

Guest Actor (Comedy)

Television Movie

Guest Actress (Drama)

Guest Actress (Comedy)

Casting (Limited, Movie)

Casting (Drama)

Casting (Comedy)

Other Awards Predictions

Talk Series

Reality Competition Program

Animated Program

Scripted Variety

Game Show

Character Voice-Over Performance

Variety Special (Live)

Host for a Reality or Competition Program

Narrator

Variety Special (Pre-Recorded)

Structured Reality

Documentary (Series)

Directing (Series, Special)

Unstructured Reality

Documentary (Special)

Writing (Series, Special)

Directing (Reality Program)

Hosted Nonfiction (Series or Special)

Music (Limited, Movie, Special, Series, Documentary, Direction, Theme Music, Lyrics, Supervision)

Main Title Design

Writing (Nonfiction)

Short Form Series

Short Form (Actor/Actress)

Exceptional Merit

About the Primetime Emmy Awards

The Primetime Emmy Awards, commonly known as the Emmys, are awarded by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences (ATAS). Established in 1949, these celebrate outstanding achievements in American primetime television. The Emmys are categorized into three divisions: the Primetime Emmy Awards for performance and production excellence, the Primetime Creative Arts Emmy Awards recognizing achievements in artistry and craftsmanship, and the Primetime Engineering Emmy Awards, which honor significant engineering and technological advancements. The eligibility period typically extends from June 1 to May 31 each year. The Television Academy, which hosts the Emmys, consists of over 20,000 members across 30 professional peer groups, including performers, directors, producers, art directors, artisans and executives.

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